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Prostate cancer · 10 min read

Gleason 6 prostate cancer: surgery or active surveillance?

For most men with Gleason 3+3=6 (grade group 1) prostate cancer, active surveillance is the recommended first choice, not an operation. In the long-term trials, deaths from prostate cancer were rare whether men were monitored or operated on. Surgery becomes reasonable in defined situations, which this article sets out.

Written and reviewed by Prof. Dr. Mutlu Ateş, urologist, Antalya American Hospital. More than 1,000 robotic operations. Published .

Robotic surgery operating room with the surgical team, representative image
Gleason 3+3=6Active surveillance
Representative image. Not a real patient or operation.

In short

The answer in four points

  • Gleason 3+3=6 is ISUP grade group 1, the lowest grade of prostate cancer reported on a biopsy. The European Association of Urology (EAU) guideline names active surveillance as the first management option for low-risk disease.
  • In the randomised ProtecT trial, death from prostate cancer at 15 years occurred in 3.1% of men assigned to monitoring and 2.2% assigned to surgery, a difference that was not significant. Metastases were more frequent with monitoring.
  • Surveillance is a programme, not a pause: PSA at least every 6 months, examination, MRI and repeat biopsies. A substantial share of men move on to treatment over the years, most often because a later biopsy shows a higher grade.
  • Surgery is reasonable when the biopsy shows cribriform or intraductal growth, when a repeat biopsy shows clearly higher-grade cancer, or when a well-informed man cannot live with surveillance.
3.1% vs 2.2%death from prostate cancer at 15 years with active monitoring versus surgery in the randomised ProtecT trial; the difference was not significant (N Engl J Med 2023)
0.1%cumulative incidence of metastasis or death from prostate cancer at 10 and 15 years among 1,818 men on surveillance at one centre (Tosoian, Eur Urol 2020)
36.3%of biopsy Gleason 5 to 6 cancers were given a higher grade after prostatectomy in a series of 7,643 operations from 2004 to 2010 (Epstein, Eur Urol 2012)
About 10%of men on active surveillance have anxiety about continuing it, according to the EAU guideline

What does Gleason 6, or grade group 1, mean?

Gleason 3+3=6 is the lowest grade of prostate cancer that is reported on a biopsy today, and it corresponds to ISUP grade group 1, the first of 5 groups. The pathologist grades the most extensive growth pattern in the sample and the second most common one, and adds the two. Patterns 1 and 2 are no longer used, so 3+3 is where the scale starts.

The EAU guideline is unusually direct about this grade. It states that grade group 1 cancer found in a removed prostate does not itself behave in a clinically malignant way, and that in large studies of prostates containing only grade group 1 cancer, spread to the seminal vesicles or lymph nodes was not seen at all.

Two cautions belong beside that statement:

  • A biopsy is a sample. It examines a small part of the gland, so a higher-grade area can be missed. This is covered below.
  • Grade can change. According to the guideline, grade group 1 may progress to higher grades at a rate of approximately 1% per year.

Gleason 6 and "low risk" are also not the same thing. In the EAU risk groups, low risk means grade group 1 together with a PSA below 10 ng/mL and a tumour that is stage cT1 to cT2 on examination. With a PSA of 10 to 20 ng/mL, the same Gleason 6 cancer is classed as favourable intermediate risk.

Why do guidelines put active surveillance first?

Because very few of these cancers threaten life, while every curative treatment has side effects. The 2026 EAU guideline states that for men with low-risk prostate cancer and an adequate life expectancy, active surveillance is the first management option. Its recommendation to offer active surveillance as the standard of care to all suitable patients carries a strong rating, the higher of the guideline's two grades.

The same guideline notes that active treatment mostly benefits men with intermediate-risk or high-risk cancer and the longest expected survival. A surgeon who tells a man with Gleason 6 that he may not need an operation is repeating what the evidence says.

Active surveillance is not the same as doing nothing, and it is not watchful waiting. The intention stays curative: the cancer is checked on a schedule, and treatment is given if it shows signs of becoming dangerous. Watchful waiting is a different approach for men whose life expectancy is limited, in which treatment is given only for symptoms.

One exclusion is firm. The guideline gives a strong recommendation that men whose biopsy shows cribriform or intraductal growth should not be managed with active surveillance.

What do the long-term trials show?

Over 15 years, death from prostate cancer was uncommon whether men were monitored, operated on or given radiotherapy, and the differences between the groups were not significant. The price of monitoring was a higher rate of metastases.

ProtecT is the main randomised trial. In the United Kingdom, 1,643 men with localised prostate cancer found by PSA testing were assigned to active monitoring (545 men), prostatectomy (553) or radiotherapy (545) and followed for a median of 15 years. Death from prostate cancer occurred in 17 men (3.1%) in the monitoring group, 12 (2.2%) in the surgery group and 16 (2.9%) in the radiotherapy group. Metastases developed in 51 (9.4%), 26 (4.7%) and 27 (5.0%).

The older PIVOT trial in the United States assigned 731 men to prostatectomy or observation and followed them for up to 19.5 years. Among men with low-risk disease, all-cause mortality differed by 0.7 percentage points between the groups, with a confidence interval that included no difference.

QuestionFindingStudy
Death from prostate cancer at 15 years3.1% with monitoring, 2.2% with surgery, 2.9% with radiotherapy. Not significantly different.ProtecT (Hamdy 2023): randomised, 1,643 men
Metastases at 15 years9.4% with monitoring, 4.7% with surgery, 5.0% with radiotherapy.ProtecT (Hamdy 2023)
Surgery or observation in low-risk menAll-cause mortality differed by 0.7 percentage points. Not significant.PIVOT (Wilt 2017): randomised, 731 men
Metastasis or cancer death on surveillance0.1% at 10 and at 15 years.Tosoian 2020: 1,818 men, one centre
Outcome of a long-running programme1.5% died of prostate cancer; 2.8% developed metastases.Klotz 2015: 993 men, one centre
Still untreated on surveillance75.7% at 5 years, 63.5% at 10 years, 55.0% at 15 years.Klotz 2015
Leaving surveillance within 5 years43.6% in all: 27.5% with signs of progression, 12.8% treated without them.GAP3 (Van Hemelrijck 2019): 10,296 men, 21 centres
Higher grade found at surgery36.3% of cancers graded Gleason 5 to 6 on biopsy.Epstein 2012: 7,643 prostatectomies

Limits: more than one third of the men in ProtecT had intermediate-risk or high-risk disease at diagnosis, so its figures are not those of a pure Gleason 6 group. Recruitment ran from 1999 to 2009, and the guideline points out that the trial's active monitoring was a less stringent strategy than present-day active surveillance, relying on PSA without scheduled repeat biopsies. PIVOT compared surgery with observation, not with active surveillance. The surveillance cohorts are not randomised, two come from single centres, and median follow-up was 5.0 years in one and 6.4 years in the other.

What does active surveillance involve in practice?

Regular PSA tests, an examination, MRI and repeat biopsies, continued for as long as curative treatment would still make sense. The EAU guideline asks for a strict protocol and gives a strong recommendation for its core elements. Programmes differ in the details; the table shows what the guideline describes.

CheckHow oftenNote
PSA blood testAt least once every 6 monthsA rise alone should not change management
Rectal examinationAt least once a yearPart of the standard strategy
MRIBefore the confirmatory biopsy, if not done before the first biopsyRepeated during follow-up; intervals differ between programmes
Confirmatory biopsyWithin 6 to 12 months if no MRI preceded the first biopsyCan be omitted after upfront MRI with targeted and perilesional cores (weak recommendation)
Repeat biopsiesNo agreed interval; years 1, 4 and 7 is a commonly applied scheduleMay be omitted with a stable MRI and a stable PSA density below 0.15 (weak recommendation)
DurationUntil life expectancy falls below 10 yearsThen watchful waiting

The guideline notes that there is no consensus on how often biopsies should be repeated. Your own schedule is set by your urologist.

Three points from the guideline are worth knowing before you start:

  • A rising PSA is a signal, not a verdict. A PSA doubling time of under 3 years should lead to an MRI and a repeat biopsy, not directly to treatment.
  • The biopsy decides. The guideline advises basing a change of treatment on biopsy findings, not on MRI, PSA or examination alone (weak recommendation).
  • Surveillance has an end point. It continues until life expectancy falls below 10 years, after which monitoring can be simplified to watchful waiting.

How many men on surveillance eventually have treatment, and why?

A substantial share, most often because a later biopsy shows a higher grade. The EAU guideline puts it at more than one third of men reclassified during follow-up. Moving to treatment is part of the plan when the cancer changes, not a sign that surveillance failed.

  • Toronto (Klotz and colleagues). In a prospective single-centre cohort of 993 men with favourable-risk or intermediate-risk cancer, 75.7% were still untreated and on surveillance at 5 years, 63.5% at 10 years and 55.0% at 15 years. In all, 1.5% died of prostate cancer and 2.8% developed metastatic disease.
  • Johns Hopkins (Tosoian and colleagues). Among 1,818 men with grade group 1 cancer, biopsy grade reclassification occurred in 21% by 5 years, 30% by 10 years and 32% by 15 years, and 48% had switched to treatment by 10 years. The cumulative incidence of metastasis or death from prostate cancer was 0.1% at both 10 and 15 years. The authors note that their selection and monitoring are stricter than in many other programmes.
  • GAP3 (21 centres in 12 countries). Among 10,296 men, 43.6% left surveillance within 5 years. Signs of progression were seen in 27.5%, and 12.8% moved to treatment without evidence of progression.

That last figure matters. A meaningful share of men are treated without evidence that the cancer has changed, and the GAP3 authors call for better selection tools to reduce it. Clear information at the start, and an agreed plan, are part of the answer.

Could the biopsy have under-graded the cancer?

Yes, and this is the main reason surveillance begins with a careful second look instead of a simple wait. In a series of 7,643 prostatectomies from 2004 to 2010, 36.3% of cancers graded Gleason 5 to 6 on biopsy were given a higher grade once the whole prostate was examined. Older age, higher PSA, a smaller prostate and more cancer in the biopsy cores made upgrading more likely.

That figure needs context. It comes from men who had already been selected for surgery, in the years before MRI-targeted biopsy was in general use. It should not be read as the risk for a man assessed with MRI today.

MRI narrows the uncertainty. A systematic review found that MRI shows a suspicious lesion in about two thirds of men who otherwise qualify for surveillance, and that among men who went on to prostatectomy, upgrading was found in 43% of those with a positive MRI and 27% of those with a negative one. In the Johns Hopkins cohort, men who had MRI before enrolment were less likely to be reclassified later.

For this reason the EAU guideline gives a strong recommendation to perform MRI before a confirmatory biopsy if it was not done before the first one, and to take targeted cores from any suspicious lesion. Where no MRI preceded the first biopsy, a confirmatory biopsy is done within 6 to 12 months.

When is surgery reasonable for Gleason 6?

When there is evidence that the cancer is, or is becoming, more than low risk, or when a fully informed man decides that surveillance is not for him. The table lists the situations and what the guideline or the studies say about each.

SituationWhat the guideline or studies say
Cribriform or intraductal growth on biopsyEAU: exclude from active surveillance (strong recommendation).
Repeat biopsy shows grade group 3 or higherEAU: histology is the strongest reason to change management.
Repeat biopsy shows grade group 2EAU: not by itself a definitive reason to stop surveillance, especially when found on a targeted biopsy.
High PSA density, or more than 2 positive coresAssociated with reclassification in a meta-analysis cited by the EAU. A reason for closer assessment.
Lesion visible on MRIUpgrading at surgery in 43% with a positive MRI and 27% with a negative one (Schoots 2015). Calls for a targeted biopsy first.
BRCA2 mutationEAU: does not exclude surveillance if tumour features are favourable; monitor cautiously. Reclassified: 6 of 11 carriers (Carter 2019).
Anxiety that does not settleEAU: a valid reason for active treatment; psychological support is the alternative.

Limits: PSA density, the number of positive cores and MRI findings predict reclassification in groups of men. None of them proves that an individual cancer is aggressive. The BRCA2 finding rests on 11 carriers.

Several of these features are reasons to look again, with MRI and a targeted biopsy, before they are reasons to operate. If treatment is chosen, surgery is not the only route: in ProtecT, radiotherapy gave cancer outcomes similar to prostatectomy. The prostate cancer page describes how the options are weighed and how robotic prostatectomy is carried out.

Age and general health count as well. The guideline asks that life expectancy is assessed before any active treatment is considered in a low-risk patient, because a man unlikely to live long enough to be harmed by the cancer can only be harmed by its treatment.

What do you give up with immediate surgery?

Mainly urinary control and erections, to a degree that differs from man to man, in exchange for a benefit that the trials have not shown in survival for low-risk disease.

What immediate surgery offers

  • Fewer metastases in ProtecT. 4.7% after surgery against 9.4% with monitoring at 15 years, in a trial where more than one third of men were not low risk.
  • A definite grade. The whole prostate is examined, so under-grading by the biopsy is no longer a question.
  • No repeat biopsies. Follow-up is by PSA blood tests.

What it costs

  • Urinary leakage. Pads were needed by 18 to 24% of men in the surgery group over years 7 to 12, against 9 to 11% in the monitoring group.
  • Erections. At 7 years, 18% in the surgery group reported erections sufficient for intercourse, against 30% in the monitoring group. By year 12 all groups had converged to low levels.
  • No proven gain in survival. Deaths from prostate cancer at 15 years: 2.2% with surgery, 3.1% with monitoring, not significantly different.
  • An operation. General anaesthesia, a catheter afterwards and weeks of recovery.
  • Possible overtreatment. Some of these cancers would never have caused harm.

The figures in the box come from the patient questionnaires of ProtecT, a randomised trial with response rates above 80% for most measures. They describe operations performed in a trial that recruited from 1999 to 2009, and results vary with age, nerve sparing and the surgeon. PIVOT reported the same direction: urinary incontinence and erectile dysfunction were each greater with surgery than with observation through 10 years. A fuller account is in the article on the side effects of prostate removal.

Surveillance is not free of cost either. In ProtecT, sexual and urinary function in the monitoring group declined gradually with age, and men who later changed to treatment took on its effects at that point.

How hard is it to live with an untreated cancer?

For most men it is easier than they expect, and for a minority it is a real burden that deserves to be taken seriously. The EAU guideline states that anxiety about continuing surveillance occurs in approximately 10% of men.

In ProtecT, where men were randomly assigned, no significant differences were found among the monitoring, surgery and radiotherapy groups in measures of anxiety, depression or general and cancer-related quality of life. These are averages across groups, so they cannot show how any one person will feel.

The guideline recognises anxiety as a valid reason for active treatment and names psychological support as an alternative for men who are otherwise suited to continuing. It also observes that a feeling of lost control feeds uncertainty during surveillance and that regaining a sense of agency can restore confidence. Knowing the schedule in advance, and knowing which result would change the plan, is a practical way to do that.

Which questions should you ask your urologist?

Ask what makes your cancer low risk, and what would change that.

  • Is my cancer low risk by the EAU definition, taking my PSA and examination into account?
  • Did I have an MRI before the biopsy, and were targeted cores taken from any lesion?
  • How many cores contained cancer, and does the report mention cribriform or intraductal growth?
  • What is my PSA density?
  • Do I need a confirmatory biopsy, and when?
  • Which finding would make you advise treatment?
  • Is there prostate, breast or ovarian cancer in my family, and should I be tested for BRCA2?
  • If I choose treatment, what are my own chances of leakage and erection problems?

For patients from abroad: the first step is a review of your reports (biopsy pathology, PSA history and MRI) by WhatsApp or email, before any travel is planned. For a low-risk Gleason 6 cancer, the advice may well be active surveillance with your own urologist at home, with no operation. If surgery does turn out to be the right choice, the practical steps are described in prostate surgery in Turkey.

This article gives general information and does not replace an assessment of your own scans and results. Treatment is decided individually.

Questions

Frequently asked questions

Is Gleason 6 really cancer?

Yes. Under the microscope it is cancer, and it is graded as ISUP grade group 1, the lowest of 5 groups. The EAU guideline states that grade group 1 found in a removed prostate does not itself behave in a clinically malignant way. It still needs follow-up, because a biopsy can miss a higher-grade area and the grade may rise over time.

What is the recommended treatment for Gleason 6 prostate cancer?

For low-risk disease, the 2026 EAU guideline names active surveillance as the first management option and gives a strong recommendation to offer it as the standard of care to all suitable patients. Low risk means grade group 1, a PSA below 10 ng/mL and stage cT1 to cT2. Surgery and radiotherapy remain available if the cancer changes.

Is active surveillance safe in the long term?

The evidence says yes for most men. In the randomised ProtecT trial, death from prostate cancer at 15 years occurred in 3.1% of men assigned to monitoring and 2.2% assigned to surgery, not a significant difference, although metastases were more frequent with monitoring (9.4% versus 4.7%). In a Johns Hopkins cohort of 1,818 men, the cumulative incidence of metastasis or cancer death was 0.1% at 15 years.

How often will I need a biopsy on active surveillance?

There is no agreed interval. The EAU guideline describes biopsies at years 1, 4 and 7 as a commonly applied schedule, alongside PSA at least every 6 months. If no MRI was done before the first biopsy, a confirmatory biopsy follows within 6 to 12 months. With a stable MRI and low PSA density, a repeat biopsy may be omitted.

Can a Gleason 6 biopsy miss a more aggressive cancer?

It can. In a series of 7,643 prostatectomies from 2004 to 2010 (Epstein and colleagues), 36.3% of biopsy Gleason 5 to 6 cancers received a higher grade after surgery. Those men were selected for surgery and assessed before MRI-targeted biopsy was widely used. MRI and a targeted confirmatory biopsy are the means of reducing this risk today.

How many men on active surveillance end up having treatment?

It depends on the programme. In the Toronto cohort of 993 men (Klotz and colleagues), 63.5% were still untreated at 10 years and 55.0% at 15 years. In the Johns Hopkins cohort (Tosoian and colleagues), 48% had switched to treatment by 10 years. A higher grade on a repeat biopsy is the most common reason.

When should a man with Gleason 6 have surgery?

The EAU guideline excludes men with cribriform or intraductal growth on biopsy from surveillance, and treats reclassification to grade group 3 or higher on a repeat biopsy as the strongest reason to change management. Persistent anxiety is recognised as a valid reason as well. A high PSA density, many positive cores or an MRI lesion call for reassessment first.

Sources

The studies behind this article

  1. Hamdy FC, et al. Fifteen-year outcomes after monitoring, surgery, or radiotherapy for prostate cancer (ProtecT). N Engl J Med. 2023;388(17):1547-1558.
  2. Wilt TJ, et al. Follow-up of prostatectomy versus observation for early prostate cancer (PIVOT). N Engl J Med. 2017;377(2):132-142.
  3. Klotz L, et al. Long-term follow-up of a large active surveillance cohort of patients with prostate cancer. J Clin Oncol. 2015;33(3):272-277.
  4. Tosoian JJ, et al. Active surveillance of grade group 1 prostate cancer: long-term outcomes from a large prospective cohort. Eur Urol. 2020;77(6):675-682.
  5. Van Hemelrijck M, et al. Reasons for discontinuing active surveillance: 21 centres in 12 countries in the Movember GAP3 consortium. Eur Urol. 2019;75(3):523-531.
  6. Epstein JI, et al. Upgrading and downgrading of prostate cancer from biopsy to radical prostatectomy. Eur Urol. 2012;61(5):1019-1024.
  7. Schoots IG, et al. Magnetic resonance imaging in active surveillance of prostate cancer: a systematic review. Eur Urol. 2015;67(4):627-636.
  8. Carter HB, et al. Germline mutations in ATM and BRCA1/2 are associated with grade reclassification in men on active surveillance for prostate cancer. Eur Urol. 2019;75(5):743-749.
  9. Donovan JL, et al. Patient-reported outcomes 12 years after localized prostate cancer treatment (ProtecT). NEJM Evid. 2023;2(4):EVIDoa2300018.
  10. Donovan JL, et al. Patient-reported outcomes after monitoring, surgery, or radiotherapy for prostate cancer (ProtecT). N Engl J Med. 2016;375(15):1425-1437.
  11. EAU Guidelines on Prostate Cancer, 2026.

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